Número en curso
Artículos de investigación

Análisis psicométrico de una escala para medir la intención de deserción universitaria: un estudio piloto

Aaron-Javier Euan-Catzin
Universidad Autónoma de Yucatán
Pedro-José Canto-Herrera
Universidad Autónoma de Yucatán

Publicado 20-11-2025

Palabras clave

  • Confiabilidad,
  • Deserción escolar,
  • Enseñanza superior,
  • Medición,
  • Validez

Cómo citar

Euan-Catzin, A.-J., & Canto-Herrera, P.-J. (2025). Análisis psicométrico de una escala para medir la intención de deserción universitaria: un estudio piloto. Revista Panamericana De Pedagogía, 41. https://doi.org/10.21555/rpp.3588

Resumen

El presente estudio, realizado en Yucatán, México, tiene el objetivo de traducir y analizar algunas propiedades psicométricas de la Escala para medir la intención de deserción de Bäulke et al. (2022). Se realizó un estudio piloto instrumental, transversal y correlacional con 71 estudiantes de diversas carreras de universidades del estado de Yucatán. El instrumento se tradujo al español con apoyo de un experto y se evaluó preeliminarmente la validez convergente. La confiabilidad se estimó con el alfa de Cronbach y el Omega de McDonald. Los resultados muestran correlaciones positivas y estadísticamente significativas con las cinco dimensiones del instrumento: percepción de no encajar (r = .406; p = < .001), pensamientos sobre desertar ( r = .476; p = < .001), análisis (r = .544; p = < .001), búsqueda de información ( r = .540; p = < .001) y decisión final ( r = .473; p = < .001),  así como con la puntuación total (r = .570; p = < .001). Se observan correlaciones inversas y estadísticamente significativas con la motivación ( r = -.326; p = < .01) y la autoeficacia académica ( r = .436; p = < .001). El instrumento muestra una consistencia interna adecuada en todas sus dimensiones (α = .829 - .969; ω = .827 - .970) y la escala general (ω = .959). Los resultados son valiosos para orientar la medición del fenómeno en el contexto y muestran la pertinencia de realizar futuras investigaciones que consideren muestras de mayor tamaño y diversidad.

Referencias

  1. Aarkrog, V., Wahlgren, B., Larsen, C. H., Mariager-Anderson, D. K., & Gottlieb, S. (2018). Decision-making processes among potential dropouts in vocational education and training and adult learning. International Journal for Research in Vocational Education and Training, 5(2), 111–129. https://doi.org/10.13152/IJRVET.5.2.2
  2. Alves-Fior, C., Jorge-Polydoro, S., Soares-Pelissoni, A., Aparecida-Dantas, M., Martins, M. & Da-Silva, L. (2022). Impact of self-efficacy and academic performance in the dropout of higher education students. Psicologia Escolar e Educacional, 26, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1590/2175-35392022235218T
  3. Achtziger, A., & Gollwitzer, P. M. (2018). Motivation and volition in the course of action. In J. Heckhausen, & H. Heckhausen (eds.). Motivation and action (pp. 485–527). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65094-4_12
  4. Ato-García, M., & Vallejo-Seco, G. (2015). Diseños de investigación en psicología. Ediciones Pirámide.
  5. Ato-García, M., López-García, J. J., & Benavente, A. (2013). Un sistema de clasificación de los diseños de investigación en psicología. Anales de Psicología, 29(3), 1038-1059. https://doi.org/10.6018/analesps.29.3.178511
  6. Baalmann, T. (2024). Health-related quality of life, success probability and students’ dropout intentions: Evidence from a German longitudinal study. Research in Higher Education, 65, 153–180. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-023-09738-7
  7. Balta-Salvador, R., Olmedo-Torre, N. & Peña, M. (2022). Perceived discrimination and dropout intentions of underrepresented minority students in engineering degrees. IEEE Transactions on Education. 65(3), 267-276. https://doi.org/10.1109/TE.2022.3158760
  8. Bargmann, C., Thiele, L., & Kauffeld, S. (2022). Motivation matters: Predicting students’ career decidedness and intention to drop out after the first year in higher education. Higher Education, 83(4), 845–861. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10734-021-00707-6
  9. Barrientos-Illanes, P., Pérez-Villalobos, M. V., Vergara-Morales, J. & Díaz-Mujica, A. (2021). Influence of the perceived autonomy support, self-efficacy, and academic satisfaction in the intentions of permanence of university students. Revista Electrónica Educare, 25(2), 90-103. https://doi.org/10.15359/ree.25-2.5
  10. Bäulke, L., Grunschel, C., & Dresel, M. (2022). Student dropout at university: A phase-orientated view on quitting studies and changing majors. European Journal of Psychology of Education, 37(3), 853–876. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10212-021-00557-x
  11. Bernardo, A. B., García-Gutiérrez, V., Esteban, M. & Maluenda-Albornoz, J. (2025). Relationship between self-efficacy and university dropout: A systematic review. Frontiers in Psychology, 26, 1-12. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2025.1553485
  12. Bernardo, A. B., Galve-González, C., Cervero, A., & Tuero, E. (2022a). Cyberbullying in first-year university students and its influence on their intentions to drop out. Higher Education Research & Development, 42(2), 275–289. https://doi.org/10.1080/07294360.2022.2057447
  13. Bernardo, A. B., Galve-González, C., Núñez, J. C., & Almeida, L. S. (2022b). A path model of university dropout predictors: The role of satisfaction, the use of self-regulation learning strategies and students’ engagement. Sustainability, 14(3). https://doi.org/10.3390/su14031057
  14. Blanco, H., Martínez, M., Zueck, M., & Gastélum, G. (2011). Análisis psicométrico de la escala de autoeficacia en conductas académicas en universitarios de primer ingreso. Actualidades Investigativas en Educación, 11(3), 1-27. https://www.redalyc.org/pdf/447/44722178003.pdf
  15. Bohndick, C. (2020). Predictors of dropout intentions in teacher education programmes compared with other study programmes. Journal of Education for Teaching, 46(2), 207–219. https://doi.org/10.1080/02607476.2020.1724652
  16. Bonilla-Jurado, D., Guevara, C., Ayala-Gavilanes, C., & Lliguisupa-Pastor, M. (2023). The school dropout: Causes and effects in university education. Journal of Higher Education Theory and Practice, 23(18). https://doi.org/10.33423/jhetp.v23i18.6629
  17. Buizza, C., Cela, H., Sbravati, G., Bornatici, S., Rainieri, G. & Ghilardi, A. (2024). The role of self-efficacy, motivation, and connectedness in dropout intention in a sample of Italian college students. Education. Science, 14(1), 67. https://doi.org/10.3390/educsci14010067
  18. Campos-Muñoz, E., Blanco, E., & Bernardo, A. B. (2024). Salud mental e intención de abandono universitario: el papel moderador de la adaptación. Revista de Estudios e Investigacion en Psicologia y Educacion, 11(2), 1-15. https://doi.org/10.17979/reipe.2024.11.2.11109
  19. Creswell, J. W. (2012). Educational research: Planning, conducting, and evaluating quantitative and qualitative Research (4th ed.). Pearson.
  20. Cobo-Rendón, R., Hojman, V., García-Álvarez, D., Cobo-Rendón, R. (2023). Academic emotions, college adjustment, and dropout intention in university students. Frontiers in Education, 8. https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2023.1303765
  21. Cohen, J. (1988). Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences (2nd ed.). Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
  22. Díaz-Mujica, A., Pérez-Villalobos, M. V., Bernardo, A. B., Cervero-Fernández-Castañón, A., & González-Pienda, J. A. (2019). Variables afectivas y cognitivas implicadas en la predicción estructural del abandono universitario. Psicothema, 31(4), 429-436. https://doi.org/10.7334/psicothema2019.124
  23. Ekornes, S. (2022). The impact of perceived psychosocial environment and academic emotions on higher education students’ intentions to drop out. Higher Education Research and Development, 41(4), 1044–1059. https://doi.org/10.1080/07294360.2021.1882404
  24. Findeisen, S., Brodsky, A., Michaelis, C., Schimmelpenningh, B., & Seifried, J. (2024). Dropout intention: A valid predictor of actual dropout? Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training, 16(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40461-024-00165-1
  25. Gaeta, M. L., Cavazos, J., Sánchez, A. P., Rosario, P., & Högemann, J. (2015). Propiedades psicométricas de la versión mexicana del Cuestionario para la Evaluación de Metas Académicas (CEMA). Revista Latinoamericana de Psicología, 47(1), 16–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0120-0534(15)30002-9
  26. Galve-González, C., Bernardo, A. B., & Castro-López, A. (2024). Understanding the dynamics of college transitions between courses: Uncertainty associated with the decision to drop out studies among first and second year students. European Journal of Psychology of Education, 39(2), 959–978. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10212-023-00732-2
  27. Girelli, L., Alivernini, F., Lucidi, F., Cozzolino, M., Savarese, G., Sibilio, M. & Salvatore, S. (2018). Autonomy supportive contexts, autonomous motivation, and self-efficacy predict academic adjustment of first-year university students. Frontiers in Education, 3(95). https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2018.00095
  28. Jacobo-Galicia, G., Máynez-Guaderrama, A. I., & Cavazos-Arroyo, J. (2021). Miedo al Covid, agotamiento y cinismo: su efecto en la intención de abandono universitario. European Journal of Education and Psychology, 14(1). https://doi.org/10.32457/ejep.v14i1.1432
  29. Ko, K., Bartoszuk, K., Peek, S. A., & Hurley, M. (2023). Profiles of first-generation college students: social, financial, academic, and cultural barriers to college lives. Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 27(2). https://doi.org/10.1177/15210251231188508
  30. Krötz, M., & Deutscher, V. (2021). Differences in perception matter – how differences in the perception of training quality of trainees and trainers affect drop-out in VET. Vocations and Learning, 14(3), 369–409. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12186-021-09263-7
  31. López-Angulo, Y., Cobo-Rendón, R. C., Pérez-Villalobos, M. V., & Díaz-Mujica, A. E. (2021). Social support, autonomy, academic commitment, and drop out intention in first year undergraduate students. Formacion Universitaria, 14(3), 139–148. https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-50062021000300139
  32. Miño, M. E. (2021). Factores condicionantes de la deserción universitaria. Ciencia Latina Revista Multidisciplinar, 5(4), 5316–5328. https://doi.org/10.37811/cl_rcm.v5i4.691
  33. Morelli, M., Chirumbolo, A., Baiocco, R. & Cattelino, E. (2023). Self-regulated learning self-efficacy, motivation, and intention to drop-out: The moderating role of friendships at University. Current Psychology, 42, 15589–15599. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12144-022-02834-4
  34. Muñoz-Inostroza, K., López-Angulo, Y., Sáez-Delgado, F., Pinto-Vigueras, J., Melo-Moreno, P., & Bernardo, A. B. (2024). Measuring dropout intention in college students: A systematic literature review. Journal of Higher Education Theory and Practice, 24(6), 2024. https://doi.org/10.33423/jhetp.v24i6.7019
  35. OECD. (2010). Education at a Glance 2010: OECD Indicators. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/eag_highlights-2010-en
  36. OECD. (2024). Education at a Glance 2024 OECD Indicators. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/c00cad36-en
  37. Passeggia, R., Testa, I., Esposito, G., De-Luca-Picone, R., Ragozini, G., & Freda, M. F. (2023). Examining the relation between first-year university students’ intention to drop-out and academic engagement: The role of motivation, subjective well-being and retrospective judgements of school experience. Innovative Higher Education, 48, 837–859. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10755-023-09674-5
  38. Peinado, J. E., Chávez, A., Viciana, J., & Rivero, J. G. (2012). Invarianza Factorial del Cuestionario de Autoeficacia EACA en Universitarios de Ciencias de la Salud y Ciencias Sociales. Formación Universitaria, 5(4), 37-47. https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-50062012000400005
  39. Poveda-Aguja, F. A., Barbosa-Guerrero, L. M., & Ríos-Rincón, M. P. (2023). University dropout problems and educational trends. Journal of Advanced Zoology, 44(s5), 1671–1678. https://doi.org/10.17762/jaz.v44iS-5.1418
  40. Robbins, S. B., Lauver, K., Le, H., Davis, D., Langley, R., & Carlstrom, A. (2004). Do psychosocial and study skill factors predict college outcomes? A meta-analysis. Psychologica Bulletin, 130(2), 261-288. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.130.2.261
  41. Rump, M., Esdar, W., & Wild, E. (2017). Individual differences in the effects of academic motivation on higher education students’ intention to drop out. European Journal of Higher Education, 7(4), 341–355. https://doi.org/10.1080/21568235.2017.1357481
  42. Sáez, F., López, Y., Cobo, R., & Mella, J. (2020). Revisión sistemática sobre intención de abandono en educación superior. En IX Congreso CLABES (2019) (pp. 91–100). Panamá: Universidad Tecnológica de Panamá. https://revistas.utp.ac.pa/index.php/clabes/article/view/2628
  43. Satico-Ferraz, A., Angeli, A. A., Ambiel, R. & Portela, S. (2021). Reasons for droppingout and learning motivation in higher education. Estudos de Psicologia, 26(3), 229-241. https://pepsic.bvsalud.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1413-294X2021000300001
  44. Schnettler, T., Bobe, J., Scheunemann, A., Fries, S., & Grunschel, C. (2020). Is it still worth it? Applying expectancy-value theory to investigate the intraindividual motivational process of forming intentions to drop out from university. Motivation and Emotion, 44(4), 491–507. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11031-020-09822-w
  45. Sosu, E. M., & Pheunpha, P. (2019). Trajectory of university dropout: Investigating the cumulative effect of academic vulnerability and proximity to family support. Frontiers in Education, 4. https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2019.00006
  46. Toyon, M. A. S. (2023). Student employees’ dropout intentions: Work excuse and university social capital as source and solution. European Journal of Educational Research, 12(3), 1329–1348. https://doi.org/10.12973/eu-jer.12.3.1329
  47. Véliz-Palomino, J. C., & Ortega, A. M. (2023). Dropout intentions in higher education: Systematic literature review. Journal on Efficiency and Responsibility in Education and Science, 16(2), 149–158. https://doi.org/10.7160/eriesj.2023.160206
  48. Yildirim, H. H., Zimmermann, J., & Jonkmann, K. (2021). The importance of a sense of university belonging for the psychological and academic adaptation of international students in Germany. Zeitschrift Fur Entwicklungspsychologie Und Padagogische Psychologie, 53(1–2), 15–26. https://doi.org/10.1026/0049-8637/a000234